There is something very odd going on in this election. On the one hand we are told, and it certainly seems to be the case, that here is a disconnect between our politicians and the electorate, a disconnect that the politicians themselves have ensured remains chasm-like by refusing, as far as is possible, to get out and meet any real people. There will be no Gillian Duffy moment during this election campaign for the very good reason that anyone such as she will be kept well behind a cordon of spin doctors and lecterns. Wallace would rather go and meet a long haired millionaire revolutionary with incoherent ill formed opinions than an ordinary member of the public.
So the fact that no one party is set to win a majority is entirely understandable then? Well, yes, except how the hell do we explain what is happening in Scotland?
Is it that the SNP is simply different to the other parties? Well that seems to be the perception. But it just isn't true.
The SNP is engaged in a calculated campaign of lies and half truths with the emphasis on the lies. They have been engaged on this campaign now for years, ever since they were granted their referendum. Having lost said referendum they barely paused for breath before claiming that they woz robbed and that it was a Westminster stitch up.
But it's working. In vain do we point out that all of their talk of being the anti austerity party is not borne out by their own decisions and performance in government, their own demands for fiscal independence and their own sums going into this election. In vain do we point out that they have even backtracked on their own rhetoric and claims about independence. Scotland, they told us, would go independent within 18 months of that historic vote. Now they tell us that raising their own money via taxation would need to be phased in over several years. The umbilical cord with England would need to be kept in place for several years. So how would independence have worked then?
The SNP is not noticeably different from Labour when push comes to shove. Except for some reason they can get away with their lies, evasions and fantastical economics.
Yet here's the point. What we are seeing here is how our electoral system works. A party only needs to poll in the low to mid 40s to be in landslide territory. That is what the SNP is looking at. If only Labour were that little bit more passionate, in possession of emotional appeal in addition to the reckless spending and bribery they are actually engaging in and they would be looking at 1997 territory once again. Indeed if only David Cameron was able to harness his inner Farage perhaps he would be able to unite the right and centre right and assemble an anti left majority too.
As I wrote here perhaps our politicians take us for fools because we are fools. But then they don't need to fool all of the people all of the time do they. They just need about 45% of us. That is why the SNP is looking at a landslide and at holding the country and Labour to ransom. Most pathetically of all, Labour are seeking to blame Conservatives for this state of affairs. As Danny Finkelstein pointed out in The Times, Labour used to propagandise about a lack of Tory legitimacy in Scotland because that country voted for Labour but was governed by a Tory government. Now that country, sick of being taken for granted by Labour, has decamped to their yellow and tartan mini-me party. The SNP are mischief making with one eye, whatever they say now, on a second referendum. What will Labour be willing to do to force out Cameron and install themselves? On past experience they will do more or less anything and then look at the nation with doe eyed innocence and blame the Tories.
People of England, you know what you have to do.